PropBetGuy will break down his favourite NFL participant props each week all through this season, and will track all his bets in the Action Network app.
Let's dive proper into his high two NFL participant prop picks for tonight's Monday Night Football matchup between the Saints and Chiefs, that includes picks for Xavier Worthy, Juwan Johnson.
NFL Player Prop Picks
- Xavier Worthy Over 48.5 speeding + receiving yards (-120, DraftKings)
- Juwan Johnson o2.5 receptions (+125, Caesars)
The huge information stemming from the Chiefs Week 4 win towards the Chargers is that Rashee Rice will miss important time with a knee harm.
In his absence, I anticipate explosive rookie Xavier Worthy to see extra alternatives for a Chiefs offense all of a sudden devoid of playmakers.
Worthy has cleared this line in two of his 4 video games to date. He’s averaging 9.7 yards per alternative (which I’m defining as rush makes an attempt plus targets), and has an 82% route participation price on Patrick Mahomes’ dropbacks (surprisingly sturdy for a rookie in Andy Reid’s system).
The position is elite, and right this moment ought to be a sneaky matchup for him to supply. The Saints run man protection at a high 6 price (per Pro Football Focus). Worthy’s otherworldly pace ought to play tonight, as we’ve seen from different burners towards the Saints.
I've Worthy projected to the touch the ball six instances tonight, which ought to translate nearer to 60 whole yards. This is playable to over 52.5 yards.
Don’t verify the field scores on this one, as a result of for those who do, you’ll discover Johnson is underneath this line in every recreation this season. However, I see this as a stealthy breakout recreation for the fifth 12 months professional.
The Chiefs have actually struggled defending tight-ends. Mike Gesicki (seven catches), Isaiah Likely (9), and Kyle Pitts (solely two catches, however 59 yards), all have had huge video games towards Kansas City.
And what all of them have in frequent with Johnson is a excessive price of lining up within the slot. Last week, Johnson aligned within the slot on 14 of his 27 routes run.
Taysom Hill will miss this recreation, and Foster Moreau has not run greater than 10 routes since Week 1. With the Chiefs using a two-high security look to guard towards the speedy Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, I anticipate Johnson to see some beneath targets.
I've Johnson projected at three catches, making this a worth spot at plus odds. This is playable to +110 odds.
