We received ourselves an AFC powerhouse matchup the place the Buffalo Bills (3-0) tackle the Baltimore Ravens (1-2).
For extra professional evaluation on Sunday Night Football tonight, try Stuckey's Bills vs. Ravens Prediction and his choose in opposition to the unfold.
As a reminder, you possibly can see all of my picks each week by following me in the Action App. You may get prompt notifications each time I observe a brand new guess with an Action PRO account.
Let's get into it!
Bills vs. Ravens Player Prop: Mack Hollins
The Bills noticed a few of the most turnover in the league on the broad receiver place in the offseason with the loss Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis discovering new properties.
It was a little bit of a thriller how precisely this rotation would play out, however after three video games, Mack Hollins really leads the group, working routes at a 76% price.
He's at all times been an underrated participant who makes good performs, and I actually count on him to proceed to get a ton of enjoying time because of this.
However, in all of his route runs, he is solely seen a goal on 6.3% of his routes.
The Bills are 3-0 and have hardly ever performed whereas trailing (fourth lowest TOP whereas trailing), so we've not seen the Bills offense be as aggressive because it might be once they're in a trailing sport script. They enter tonight as 2.5-point underdogs, which implies we may see the Bills offense be far more aggressive tonight.
I believe that helps Hollins' outlook tonight as I type of view him changing the “Gabe Davis role.”
This is a quantity he can completely clear with a single catch contemplating his aDot of 13.2, however I've him shut to a 50/50 likelihood to get greater than two catches right here, which supplies him a slight enhance to clear this (which he certainly will with two-plus catches more often than not).
I'm projecting the median nearer to 17.5, with round a 61% likelihood that he clears 12.5.
Pick: Mack Hollins Over 12.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards | Over | Under |
---|---|---|
11.5 | 63.9% | 36.1% |
12.5 | 61.6% | 38.4% |
13.5 | 59.3% | 40.7% |
14.5 | 57.0% | 43.0% |
15.5 | 54.7% | 45.3% |
16.5 | 52.4% | 47.6% |
17.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% |
How would you price this text?