Let's flush September down the bathroom.
After all, my picks stunk worse than a rubbish dump. I do know I'm not alone since this has been a tricky yr for all who choose NFL games — brutally unhealthy.
I went 7-9 against the unfold final week, which is not good, however I'm nonetheless main our NFL professional picks at (*5*) with a 30-31-3 file. That's how unhealthy September was for all of us.
As far as my straight-up picks, I used to be 8-8 final week to even my file at 32-32. That would not lead, but it surely's shut.
Whew, we stink.
But now's the time when issues begin to crystallize a bit in the NFL. So let's have a look at if my file can enhance.
I've to have a look at the brilliant aspect: I did not go 3-13 ATS final week like someone I do know. Right, Jamey Eisenberg?
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video)
This is a gigantic sport contained in the division for each groups. Tampa Bay impressed final week blowing out the Eagles, whereas the Falcons received a tricky one over the Saints. The Atlanta offense hasn't seemed that good and the Falcons have offensive line accidents that Todd Bowles will exploit. Baker Mayfield and the Bucs will win one other street sport.
Pick: Bucs 24, Falcons 20
Bonus: Larry Hartstein, who's on a 49-25-2 ATS roll on Falcons video games, has launched his greatest bets for the Week 5 NFC South sport against the Buccaneers. Hartstein is leaning the Over whole however who's he backing to cowl? Find out right here at SportsLine.
Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET (NFLN, fubo)
The Vikings are undefeated and Sam Darnold is enjoying at an MVP stage. But going through this Jets protection can be an actual problem. The Jets offense was lifeless final week in the loss to Denver, and Aaron Rodgers will face a tricky check from Minnesota's attacking protection. His line had points final week and can once more right here. It's shut however low scoring because the Jets take it behind their protection.
Pick: Jets 19, Vikings 16
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Bears are coming off a victory, whereas Andy Dalton misplaced for the primary time as a starter this yr final week to the Bengals. The Chicago protection is enjoying effectively. I feel Dalton and his offense may have issues, whereas Caleb Williams will proceed to enhance with assist from the rejuvenated working sport. The Bears take it because the Panthers wrestle to maneuver it on offense.
Pick: Bears 24, Panthers 13
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This an unlimited sport for the Bengals. They can get proper again in the division race with a victory right here. Their offense has come alive with Tee Higgins again. The Ravens quit loads of huge go performs, so that can issue right here. The Bengals protection has points, so look for lots of factors. In the tip, I feel Joe Burrow wins it.
Pick: Bengals 34, Ravens 31
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is without doubt one of the greatest video games of the week. The Bills are out on the street for the second straight week and did not look good in dropping to the Ravens. The Texans have not been dynamic on offense, which many anticipated earlier than the season. Look for Josh Allen to come back in right here and win a shootout with C.J. Stroud.
Pick: Bills 30, Texans 28
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Colts haven't received in Jacksonville since 2014, however this Jaguars staff is reeling. At 0-4, it is a should win or they're really achieved. The Colts do not know who will begin at quarterback with Anthony Richardson dinged up. It might be Joe Flacco. It will not matter. The historical past stays the identical. The Jaguars will get their first victory.
Pick: Jaguars 24, Colts 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
This sport options two unhealthy groups, however the Dolphins are the shock there. Without Tua Tagovailoa, they're anemic on offense. The protection is not good proper now both. The Pats have struggled the previous few video games, however again house they may play higher. They win it.
Pick: Patriots 21, Dolphins 16
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Commanders are using excessive behind rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, whereas the Browns are fighting Deshaun Watson. This is a second straight street sport for the Browns and they're actually banged up. The offensive line is a multitude. Daniels will keep sizzling. The Commanders maintain rolling.
Pick: Commanders 28, Browns 17
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
Both groups are 2-2 and the Broncos are house for the primary time in three weeks. The Denver protection has actually impressed during the last two video games and can play effectively right here. Both groups are restricted on offense, however I feel the Broncos will get the most effective of the Las Vegas offense. The Broncos win it.
Pick: Broncos 20, Raiders 14
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)
The Cardinals have been blown out final week and the protection was unhealthy. That's by no means a great factor when enjoying the 49ers at their place. Brock Purdy and Co. ought to have a giant day. The protection will do its half as effectively. Look for a 49ers blowout because the Cards simply do not have the gamers on protection.
Pick: 49ers 30, Cardinals 17
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up effectively over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, likes the 49ers to cowl against the Cardinals in Week 5. See the opposite picks the model is backing at SportsLine.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Packers are coming off a tricky loss to the Vikings with Jordan Love again in motion, however he performed effectively after a sluggish begin. The Rams quit a ton of huge performs on protection, which is nice information for Love. The Rams are restricted on offense with so many accidents. They will not be capable to sustain.
Pick: Packers 31, Rams 19
Bonus: The SportsLine Projection Model, which is up effectively over $7,000 for $100 gamers on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, likes the Packers to cowl on the street against the Rams in Week 5. See the opposite picks the model is backing at SportsLine.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is an extended journey for the Giants, however they are going to be rested having performed final Thursday, whereas the Seahawks performed Monday evening. Seattle is actually banged up on protection, so this might be a sport for the Giants offense to point out one thing. The Seattle offense confirmed Monday evening it might rating. Look for factors because the Giants hold round, however Seattle wins it.
Pick: Seahawks 30, Giants 26
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)
The Cowboys are banged up on protection and the standing of star go rusher Micah Parsons is the large damage to observe. The Steelers misplaced for the primary time final week with the protection having points. I feel the Cowboys will go into Pittsburgh and rating sufficient to beat the Steelers as Dak Prescott performs huge.
Pick: Cowboys 23, Steelers 20
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, fubo)
The Saints are enjoying consecutive street video games and they're doing so in prime time. That's robust sufficient, however they're additionally enjoying the highest staff in the league. Patrick Mahomes began to point out flashes of his outdated methods final week. I feel he performs effectively right here — throwing for over 270 and two scores — because the Chiefs win after they flip Derek Carr picks into factors.
Pick: Chiefs 31, Saints 20
Bonus: Before you make your Week 5 NFL survivor pool picks, that you must see which staff the SportsLine Projection Model is backing. We can inform you the mannequin is shying away from the unbeaten Chiefs vs. the Saints. Check out the shocking team to back in Week 5 right here.
