Football betting suggestions: Premier League
2pts Bournemouth Asian handicap (-1) at 21/20 (bet365)
2pts Milos Kerkez to commit 2+ fouls at 7/4 (Sky Bet)
1pt Milos Kerkez to commit 3+ fouls at 11/2 (Sky Bet)
Kick-off time: 20:00 BST, Monday
TV channel: Sky Sports Main Event
This may get ugly for honourable Russell Martin – unwavering in his strategy.
His facet make the brief journey throughout the south coast the place a conflict in types appears to be like sure to go well with the guests.
Southampton are one among three Premier League groups with a solitary level this time period and time-and-time once more their undoing has confirmed to be Martin’s stubbornness, unwavering allegiance to taking part in out from the again.
So, what occurs while you play top-of-the-line urgent sides within the division?
What are the perfect bets?
Only Tottenham (42) have accomplished extra tackles within the last third than BOURNEMOUTH (34). Combine that with the very fact Southampton high the charts for errors resulting in targets (4) and resulting in photographs (6) and issues start to look bleak for the guests.
Taking Bournemouth on the ASIAN HANDICAP (-1) appeals with the added safety of stakes returned if Bournemouth win by one aim.
Although Southampton have performed effectively at instances this time period, the fashion of play is the basis of the problem and their wasteful ending and poor defending doesn't assist.
The Saints rank third for xGA and fifth for ‘big chances’ (xG better than 0.35) missed. Most worrying of all although, they've generated an xG of seven.1 but solely scored twice, which is the fewest within the division, dropping to-nil in all-bar-one of their league video games.
Bournemouth ought to have little subject in outscoring the Saints on Monday.
Tyler Dibling has been one among few positives for the Saints.
The 18-year-old scored in opposition to Ipswich on his second top-flight begin and has been a ache for opposition left-backs in each his begins to this point, drawing 4 fouls in every.
Diogo Dalot dedicated 4 fouls in opposition to Dibling and Leif Davies dedicated two.
MILOS KERKEZ needs to be the person tasked with containing him, he has dedicated at the very least one each recreation this time period and his costs TO COMMIT 2+ and 3+ appeals Monday.
Although they aren't at the moment priced, will probably be value conserving an eye fixed out for Player Foul Matchup markets on Sky Bet or Paddy Power. I’ll be ready for Kerkez’s value to commit 1+, 2+ and 3+ fouls on Dibling.
Team information
Andoni Iraola doesn’t have any recent harm considerations from the facet which misplaced 3-0 at Anfield, Tyler Adams is the one participant unavailable for the hosts.
The Bournemouth boss should decide to shuffle his deck with Adam Smith probably coming in at proper again and Marcos Senesi in central defence.
The attacking quartet of Marcus Tavernier, Justin Kluivert, Antoine Semenyo and Evanilson ought to stay intact.
As for the guests, Martin may additionally title an unchanged facet from the one which earned its first level within the final recreation.
This would see Ben Brereton Diaz settle for a spot on the bench once more with Ryan Fraser and Dibling most popular on the flanks and Cameron Archer upfront.
Predicted line-ups
Bournemouth: Kepa; Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kerkez; Cook, Christie; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson.
Southampton: Ramsdale; Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Taylor; Lallana, Downes, Fernandes; Dibling, Archer, Fraser.
Match info
- Having gained their first Premier League residence recreation in opposition to Southampton in March 2016, Bournemouth at the moment are winless of their final 5 in opposition to Saints on the Vitality Stadium within the competitors (D2 L3).
- Southampton haven’t conceded a aim in any of their final three Premier League away video games in opposition to Bournemouth – solely in opposition to Swansea between 2013 and 2016 have they saved 4 consecutive clear sheets on the highway within the competitors.
- Bournemouth have misplaced 5 of their final eight Premier League matches (W1 D2) – that they had gained 5 of their earlier eight video games beforehand (D1 L2).
- Southampton have picked up only one level of their opening 5 Premier League matches in 2024-25, their fewest at this stage of a league season since 1998-99 after they had no factors after 5 video games.
- Bournemouth have misplaced 5 of their seven Premier League video games performed on a Monday (W1 D1); amongst sides to play 5+ matches on this present day of the week within the competitors, their loss price of 71% is the very best. Opponents Southampton, although, have misplaced 54% of their Monday matches within the Premier League (28/52), the very best price of a facet to play 20+ instances on this present day.
- Southampton are winless of their final 18 Premier League matches (D5 L13) since a 1-0 win over Leicester City in March 2023. The final facet to have an extended winless run have been Norwich City between March 2020 and October 2021 (20 video games).
- Although Bournemouth suffered a 3-0 defeat at Liverpool final outing, that they had 19 photographs; that was the joint most by an away workforce in a Premier League recreation at Anfield that Opta has on document since 2003-04.
- Southampton have conceded probably the most targets by way of corners (4) and set items (5) within the Premier League this season, whereas they're one among 4 groups – one among which is opponents Bournemouth – who're but to attain a set piece aim in 2024-25.
- Adam Lallana assisted Tyler Dibling’s aim for Southampton in opposition to Ipswich Town final outing. Lallana is 17 years and 306 days older than Dibling, with that the largest age hole between a goalscorer and assister since March 2006, when Teddy Sheringham arrange Nigel Reo-Coker for West Ham in opposition to Wigan (18 years and 42 days older).
- The two gamers who’ve conceded probably the most fouls within the Premier League this season are Bournemouth duo Justin Kluivert (15) and Lewis Cook (14). Those two gamers are accountable for 43% of the fouls the Cherries have dedicated this season (29/67).
Odds appropriate at 1340 BST (27/09/24)
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