It might seem as if the Air Force vs. New Mexico matchup is unattractive, however as fanatics of school soccer, we get pleasure from viewing any contest on our televisions.
On Saturday night time, in Albuquerque, New Mexico, two 1-4 Mountain West groups are ready to face off when the New Mexico (1-4, 0-1 MWC) Lobos welcome the Air Force Falcons (1-4, 0-2).
The Falcons had been overwhelmed by Navy final week, whereas the Lobos scored 50 towards New Mexico State earlier than their hiatus. Expect to witness some absurd antics in Saturday's sport.
New Mexico is favored by 6.5 factors with a complete of 54.5 set.
Let's discover my New Mexico vs. Air Force forecasts and school soccer picks for Saturday, October 12.
New Mexico vs. Air Force Betting Odds
Saturday, Oct 12
7 p.m. ET
truTV
| Air Force Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 56 -110 / -110 | +215 |
| New Mexico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 56 -110 / -110 | -265 |
- Air Force vs New Mexico unfold: New Mexico -6.5
- Air Force vs New Mexico over/underneath: 56 factors
- Air Force vs New Mexico moneyline: New Mexico -265
- Air Force vs New Mexico choose: Under 55
My New Mexico-Air Force greatest guess is on each groups to go underneath the whole, with the optimum line presently accessible at BetMGM, as indicated on our stay NCAAF odds web page.
Air Force vs New Mexico Preview
Air Force Football
The Falcons are experiencing an awfully difficult season. To compound their woes, their triple-option technique has been a disaster. They've endured consecutive defeats towards Wyoming and Navy.
The offense has gathered 36 mixed factors in the final 4 contests, and their statistics are telling. Quarterback John Busha has not executed a landing move and solely averages 2.79 yards per carry as a rusher.
The Falcons rank past the underside 100 in nearly all of offensive measurements, a big deviation from the earlier season. They stand one hundred and fifteenth in Rushing Success Rate and 109th in Line Yards.
Although it is a favorable matchup towards a poor Lobos protection, it mirrors the confrontation towards Wyoming a number of weeks again in Laramie. The Pokes approached the sport with a few of the nation's least interesting defensive metrics.
Can the Falcons capitalize, although? I would not be inclined to position that guess.
It may very well be higher defensively, as properly. Air Force resides past the highest 65 in Rush Success Rate Allowed and Line Yards.
The Lobos' passing sport is subpar, however the Falcons are simply 112th in PFF protection grading.
Typically, I'd be enthusiastic a few service academy acquiring almost a landing right here, however it's inadequate to justify a wager for the Falcons. The clock needs to be ticking, that means possessions may very well be restricted for each groups.
New Mexico Football
The Lobos offense supplies a distinction to the Falcons', as they embrace a brisk tempo. They rank thirty fourth in seconds per play and have been considerably extra environment friendly to this point in 2024.
The Lobos are in the highest 50 in Rushing Success Rate and high 20 in Havoc Allowed. The pocket has predominantly been clear for quarterback Devon Dampier, who has surpassed 1,300 passing yards and six touchdowns.
Dampier's flaw has been his recklessness with the ball, having thrown 5 interceptions and shedding a fumble. Nonetheless, he is averaging over 8 yards per carry, making him a formidable offensive risk to this point.
Due to their abominable protection, I discover it difficult to be enthusiastic in regards to the Lobos' matchup. This staff was decimated by Montana State in Week 0.
This is not meant to query Montana State's high quality as a decent FCS opponent, but there is a obtrusive motive why New Mexico ranks 132nd in Rushing Success Rate Allowed. The Falcons have been dreadful offensively, however their triple-option scheme might pose difficulties for the Lobos.
The encouraging information is that UNM is coming off a bye week, offering ample time to arrange. The protection ranks past the underside 125 in Finishing Drives and Quality Drives, so it would not be stunning to witness the Falcons preserve ball possession for extended durations.
Air Force vs New Mexico Matchup Assessment
Toggle the dropdowns under to hide or reveal how Air Force and New Mexico match up statistically:
Air Force Offense vs. New Mexico Defense
New Mexico Offense vs. Air Force Defense
Pace of Play / Other
 | ||
| PFF Tackling | 69 | 132 |
| PFF Coverage | 112 | 107 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 116 | 133 |
| Middle 8 | 108 | 57 |
| Seconds per Play | 29.1 (105) | 25.6 (34) |
| Rush Rate | 80% (2) | 47% (95) |
Air Force vs New Mexico Prognosis
I'm apprehensive about putting an underneath guess with two weak defenses, however it's the optimum alternative for this confrontation.
The public would possibly presume that each groups surpassed the whole in their previous video games, which aligns with the present betting knowledge.
The Falcons are poised to take advantage of the Lobos protection to ascertain some drives, but their incapacity to capitalize will significantly profit the underneath.
New Mexico might dominate at house, however I doubt there can be satisfactory possessions for the sport to exceed the whole. There is already sharp cash transferring in the direction of the underneath, therefore I'll synchronize with the educated people right here.
Pick: Under 55 (Consider as much as 54)
Air Force vs New Mexico Start Time, TV Channel, How to Watch
| Location: | University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM |
| Date: | Saturday, Oct. 12 |
| Kickoff Time: | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | truTV |
Air Force will problem New Mexico on Saturday, Oct. 12 in Albuquerque at 7 p.m. ET on truTV.
Air Force vs New Mexico Weather
