We're transferring into Week 6 of the 2024 NFL season, and we're assured you're absolutely outfitted for the loaded schedule. But simply in case you require some last-minute data, our NFL analysts have you ever lined at the ultimate hour.
Initially, information author Seth Walder dissects 5 statistical tendencies that might be essential this weekend. Fantasy soccer author Eric Moody goes by means of 5 athletes who're rostered in underneath 50% of ESPN fantasy soccer leagues as of Saturday who might be acquired and initiated in a pinch this weekend. This is adopted by NFL analyst Matt Bowen stating 5 attainable shocks that would happen and NFL analyst Ben Solak singling out one squad on upset alert. Lastly, insider Jeremy Fowler delivers the most up-to-date buzz, rumors, and information you might need missed.
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Stat tendencies | Fantasy shock performers
Possible shocks | Big sport alert
Latest buzz
Walder: Five very important statistical developments that would determine Week 6 champions
Can the Jets' new management assist Garrett Wilson with an alternate strategy?
The Jets' route blueprint is kind of the spectacle. The squad ranks prime three in the price of brief fades, deep fades, brief outs, ins, slants, and go routes. It sits in the backside three in deep crossers, medium crossers, deep outs, comebacks, and digs.
In less complicated phrases, New York executes brief or direct routes. This renders the offense considerably mysterious, and that is particularly disadvantageous for Wilson. During 2022-23, Wilson's most yards run per route (excluding screens) had been on digs, deep crossers, deep overs, posts, and comebacks. His utilization on all 5 of these routes has decreased this season.
Wilson is operating posts at lower than fifty % of the price he did in the earlier two years, and he's observing simply over fifty % of the quantity of digs. A considerable change that new Jets playcaller Todd Downing could make in opposition to the Bills is to get Wilson operating laterally once more and reduce the back-shoulder passes Rodgers usually throws.
Will outdoors runs resolve the Falcons' operating sport in opposition to the Panthers?
You do not want to inform Bijan Robinson's fantasy managers, however Atlanta's speeding sport has been underwhelming this season (twenty seventh in EPA per play). The Panthers is perhaps simply what the Falcons want to return on the proper path, nevertheless.
No workforce executes outdoors the tackles greater than the Falcons (42% of the time). And they're much more practical on these runs, accumulating 0.06 EPA per play on runs outdoors the tackles versus a unfavourable 0.16 EPA per play inside. It seems that the Panthers wrestle far more in opposition to outdoors runs (0.14 EPA allowed per play) than inside (unfavourable 0.01). Anticipate quite a few triumphant outside-zone runs from Atlanta on Sunday.
Can the Saints guard Spencer Rattler in opposition to the Bucs?
The Saints initiated the season wanting as if they'd made substantial enhancements of their offensive line. After 5 weeks, it seems as if the “enhancement” was seemingly only a fluke from encountering the Panthers in Week 1.
Presently, New Orleans ranks twenty ninth in go block win price, that's problematic for Rattler, whose 8.4% sack price at South Carolina final 12 months ranked 113th out of 128 FBS quarterbacks. The solely silver lining right here is the Saints are dealing with the Buccaneers' unthreatening go rush in Rattler's debut. Tampa Bay ranks twenty third in go rush win price, with no particular person having greater than three sacks.
Can Josh Downs and Adonai Mitchell steer the Colts with out Michael Pittman Jr.?
The proof implies the Colts are covertly deep at broad receiver and can endure Pittman's again harm fairly effectively. Downs — whose standing can also be unsure due to a toe harm — is on fireplace after returning in Week 3, accumulating 26 targets over three video games.
Downs boasts an 82 open rating, through ESPN's receiver scores, to this point this season — third finest in the league. However, he isn't the just one getting open. Mitchell, the rookie from Texas, has a 71 open rating (tied for thirteenth finest amongst broad receivers). Mitchell has solely 70 receiving yards, however the chance means that output will improve in case you are getting open. It's painful to lose Pittman, however the Colts can be in a a lot worse place if they didn't have Downs and Mitchell as reinforcements in opposition to the Titans.
1:01
What to make of Michael Pittman Jr.'s harm
Field Yates discusses Michael Pittman Jr.'s harm and tries to uncover why his manufacturing has declined this season.
Could Zach Allen dominate a mismatch and attain Justin Herbert?
Concerning go block and go rush win charges, Sunday's Chargers-Broncos contest showcases one of the biggest mismatches you may witness. Allen has been excelling this season, with a 26% go rush win price at defensive deal with; no different participant at the place is even at 20%. He will primarily line up in opposition to Chargers third-year guard Zion Johnson, who ranks sixty fifth out of 66 qualifying guards in go block win price. This provides a exceptional alternative for Allen to disrupt the Chargers' passing sport.
Moody: Five fantasy underdogs you want to purchase — and can provoke this week
Tank Bigsby, Jacksonville Jaguars (38.7% rostered)
Following Bigsby's 26-point efficiency in Week 5, it is unusual his roster proportion is not above 50%. He has exceeded Travis Etienne Jr., averaging 1.2 fantasy factors per contact in contrast to Etienne's 0.61.
As Etienne contends with a shoulder harm he exacerbated in Week 5, Bigsby is in the end receiving extra touches. He'll confront a Bears protection in Week 6 that enables the Tenth-most fantasy factors to operating backs and surrenders the Eleventh-most speeding yards per try (4.8). If Etienne is excluded, Bigsby's fantasy ceiling is even better.
Alec Pierce, WR, Indianapolis Colts (21.0% rostered)
Pittman's harm might equate to extra targets for Pierce. He has been a big menace this season, averaging a formidable 28.3 yards per reception and 3.2 fantasy factors per goal. He's a incredible underdog in opposition to the Titans, as he has exhibited chemistry with each Anthony Richardson and Joe Flacco underneath middle. When Pierce receives 5 or extra targets in his profession, he has averaged 11.6 fantasy factors per sport.
Jalen Tolbert, WR, Dallas Cowboys (20.5% rostered)
We all acknowledged Tolbert's potential in Week 5, notably with Brandin Cooks on injured reserve. He obtained 10 targets and gathered 21.7 fantasy factors in opposition to the Steelers with an analogous quantity of snaps and ran roughly the identical quantity of routes as CeeDee Lamb.
With the Lions' protection conceding the third-fewest fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, Dallas could lean additional on the passing sport in Week 6. Fortunately for Tolbert, the Lions permit the second-most FPPG to broad receivers.
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Why Field Yates has fantasy curiosity in WR Jalen Tolbert in Week 6
Daniel Dopp and Field Yates analyze broad receiver Jalen Tolbert's clutch efficiency in Week 5 vs. the Steelers.
Cade Otton, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (18.5% rostered)
Fantasy managers are searching for any benefit they will discover at tight finish, and Otton is a wonderful underdog selection for Week 6. Over the final three video games, he has averaged 7.0 targets and 47.7 receiving yards per sport whereas taking part in practically each snap. He'll face a Saints protection that has allowed the third-most receiving yards per sport to tight ends this season.
Daniel Jones, QB, New York Giants (13.9% rostered)
Fantasy managers had minimal expectations for Jones this season, however he has gathered 18 or extra fantasy factors in three of his final 4 video games. The emergence of rookie receiver Malik Nabers has definitely contributed, although Jones recorded a season-best 22.0 fantasy factors with out Nabers (concussion) in Week 5.
The dual-threat quarterback faces a Bengals protection that enables the fifth-most fantasy factors and second-most speeding yards per sport to quarterbacks. Even if Nabers is excluded once more, Jones stays a stable streamer with Wan'Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton as his prime two go catchers.
Bowen: Don't be startled if …
Mark Andrews data his first landing of the season
Andrews has secured 10 passes this season. That's all. However, he did catch 4 of 5 targets for a season-high 54 yards in a Week 5 victory over Cincinnati, and I respect the mid-field matchup right here. Opposing quarterbacks are finishing 78.2% of their throws inside the numbers in opposition to Washington, which is the sixth-highest proportion in the league. Anticipate Andrews to rating on a seam throw from Lamar Jackson this Sunday.
