Republican Senator Ted Cruz might be at risk of shedding his seat to Democratic Congressman Colin Allred because of a big quantity Texas voters who usually are not presently backing both candidate, in keeping with the pollsters behind a brand new survey.
A poll launched by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) on Tuesday and carried out by Mainstreet Research confirmed that Cruz had a 3 share level edge over Allred, whereas a bunch of undecided voters that's greater than thrice bigger might be on the verge of “potentially swinging the race.”
Cruz was main Allred 46 p.c to 43 p.c amongst all voters, with 11 p.c of voters saying they've but to make up their minds. Cruz maintained his 3 level edge amongst seemingly voters, 47 p.c to 44 p.c, with the share of undecided voters falling to three p.c.
The ballot was carried out amongst 811 registered Texas voters over the telephone and on-line between October 2 and October 6. While it was not given a margin of error, FAU mentioned that “a poll of this size would have” a plus or minus 3.4 share level margin of error.
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Kevin Wagner, a professor of political science at FAU and co-director of the FAU PolCom Lab, mentioned in a statement that the “results highlight the continuing competitiveness of Texas in national elections.”
Newsweek reached out for remark to the Cruz and Allred campaigns through electronic mail on Tuesday night.
Republicans have been buoyed by a good map of Senate seats which might be being contested in November. However, Democrats flipping management of Cruz's seat would current a serious roadblock to conservatives' hopes of profitable again management of the chamber.
While practically all surveys of the Texas race have proven Cruz with a bonus, a Morning Consult poll launched final month indicated that Allred had a slim 1 p.c lead over the incumbent. Several different polls have confirmed the race inside their margins of error.
During a Monday night time interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity, Cruz warned supporters that Democrats are “coming after me with everything they have” and will “take over the country completely” if he doesn't win reelection.
The Cook Political Report downgraded Cruz's seat from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” on October 1. No Democrat has received a U.S. Senate election in Texas since 1988.
“We still think this race remains tough for Allred, and that winning those last few points in Texas will be a herculean task,” the report said. “Republicans say they are now beginning to drive up Allred's negatives as well as more money pours in, and an Oct. 15 debate will also be crucial.”
“But the contest is closer than once thought, which the spending bears out, and Allred is raising plenty of money to keep the race competitive,” it continued. “As such, it moves to Lean Republican.”
Mark Shanahan, a professor of American politics on the U.Ok.'s University of Surrey, beforehand advised Newsweek that Democrats are “currently on track to lose the Senate” however considers Texas to be one of many “flippable Senate seats” that might enable them to maintain management.
