In the offseason Ohio State determined that they had sufficient of shedding to Michigan, bringing in QB Will Howard, OC Chip Kelly, S Caleb Downs, RB Quinshon Judkins and maybe the best freshman WR in trendy historical past, Jeremiah Smith, so as to fortify their roster to make a run on the CFP National Championship. Through 4 video games the outcomes have been overwhelming, with OSU throttling their helpless opponents by a mixed rating of 195-27. Their lone P4 opponent, Michigan State, generated an anemic 246 whole yards and averaged simply 1.9 yards per carry within the lopsided 38-7 defeat. The Buckeyes rank ninth in SP+ offense and 2nd in protection, making OSU the present #1 group within the nation in line with the numbers.
It’s onerous to argue with the choice to jettison nepo-hire OC Brian Ferentz in favor of former Western Michigan HC Tim Lester, because the Hawkeyes are averaging twice as many factors by means of 4 video games in 2024 (30.7) than they did final season (15.4). In reality, Iowa has already eclipsed the 30-point barrier thrice this season, which matches the sum whole of 30+ level performances from the earlier three years mixed! HC Kirk Ferentz’ group is 3-1, dropping a 20-19 determination to arch-rival Iowa State because of some late-game heroics from QB Rocco Becht.
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Game Details and How to look at 2024 Iowa @ Ohio State dwell
· Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
· Time: 3:30 PM EST
· Site: The Horseshoe
· City: Columbus, OH
· TV/Streaming: CBS
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Game odds for Iowa @ Ohio State – Week 6
The newest odds as of Friday morning:
- Moneyline: Ohio State (-1200), Iowa (+750)
- Spread: Ohio State -19.5
- Over/Under: 45.5 factors
This recreation opened at an aggressive OSU -24 and has since been steadily hammered right down to the present -19.5/20 mark we’re seeing at time of print. Same with the moneyline with Ohio State cratering from -2100 to an attractive -1,100. Iowa ML has dipped from +1,100 right down to a excessive of +950. The spread-related market fluctuations had little impact on the whole nonetheless, opening and at present sitting within the 44.5-to-45.5 vary.
NBC Sports Bet Best Bet
NBC Sports Betting Analyst Eric Froton (@CFFroton) believes factors might be aplenty on this contest:
“With Iowa currently batting .1000 going 4-for-4 to the Over, and Ohio State hitting the Over at a 75% clip this year, I’m following the trends and advocating for a play on the OVER 45.5 Points.”
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From the Trading Desk at BetMGM courtesy of John Ewing: Week 6 Insights
Most guess video games (tickets)
- Syracuse-UNLV
- Michigan State-Oregon
- Tennessee-Arkansas
Most guess groups (tickets)
- Tennessee -13.5
- UNLV -6.5
- Michigan +1.5
Most guess groups (deal with)
- Navy -9
- Alabama -23.5
- Tennessee -13.5
Most guess Overs (tickets)
- Michigan State-Oregon 52.5
- Iowa-Ohio State 45.5
- Syracuse-UNLV 57.5
Most guess Unders (tickets)
- Baylor-Iowa State 44.5
- Indiana-Northwestern 41.5
- USC-Minnesota 49.5
Most guess underdogs to win (tickets)
- Michigan +100
- Missouri +115
- Michigan State +1200
Quarterback matchup for Iowa @ Ohio State
- Ohio State: While he imported a number of influence transfers, HC Ryan Day made upgrading the QB place his #1 precedence within the portal this offseason. Kansas State transplant QB Will Howard was the selection, and it’s paying off to date with Howard boosting his completion charge from 61- to-69% with an 8-to-2 ratio. It’s good to see enchancment with turnovers, as he threw 10 interceptions final 12 months and slicing down on miscues was a degree of emphasis for brand new OC Chip Kelly. Howard has taken only one sack and is at present sporting a 117.9 passer score which is the best mark of his five-year collegiate profession. With the comfortable non-conference slate behind him, Howard now faces a gauntlet of robust defenses in Iowa/@Oregon/Nebraska/@Penn State.
- Iowa: Is the Hawkeyes’ 86th-ranked SP+ offense putting worry into the hearts of opposing DC’s after their aforementioned barrage of 30+ level showings this 12 months? Well, not fairly but as their humdrum cross recreation nonetheless ranks 133rd in passes of 20+ yards, 128th in explosiveness and a hundred and twentieth in yards per dropback. However, at a decent 73.8 PFF general grade QB Cade McNamara seems like Iowa all-time passing chief Nathan Stanley in comparison with former super-sized beginning Deacon Hill. OC Lester has McNamara finishing 63% of his throws because of a conservative 6.8 ADOT designed to get the ball in playmakers’ palms shortly and effectively. Well, as effectively because the Iowa passing recreation can moderately be anticipated to carry out. So lengthy as McNamara may be an correct short-area distributor to offset a probably superb Iowa run recreation, he must be efficient.
Trends & current stats
- Iowa is 8-3 ATS when intercepting 1+ passes, and 8-4 when permitting lower than 3 sacks since 2023. Conversely, they're additionally winless (0-3) ATS when permitting 22 or extra factors
- Iowa’s run recreation has vastly improved from a 12 months in the past, rating 18th in yards per profitable rush, fifteenth in YPC and seventh with a sturdy 3.8 yards after contact. They averaged 3.3 YPC in 2023 and a meager 2.9 YPC in 2022, so it is a main constructive improvement.
- Despite some pretty aggressive totals OSU is 3-1 to the Over to date this season. Though the Buckeyes boast a +42-point common scoring margin (2nd in FBS), the Buckeyes are solely 2-2 ATS.
- Ohio State’s protection has turn into a top-flight unit beneath the tutelage of DC Jim Knowles, as groups are scared of throwing on them with OSU rating #1 nationally defending 45% of their passes going for 0 or much less air yards. Helps having a line of defense that’s pitching an 11.3% sack charge after all, Third-best nationally.
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