After touchdown his 11/1 finest guess treble final weekend, our soccer betting professional Jones Knows is again to present his perception on each Premier League sport.
West Ham vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30pm
Don't be fooled by Chelsea's file of successful their final 4 Premier League away video games, the place they've scored 12 objectives. This group are nonetheless miles away from being thought-about a top-four contender primarily based on the underlying numbers behind these performances – particularly the 2 wins this season at Wolves and Bournemouth.
The mixture rating might learn 7-2 to Chelsea throughout these video games however the anticipated objectives numbers painted an image of two.51-3.74 – an enormous overperformance and one which makes their worth for an away win at Evens with Sky Bet look ripe for taking over.
West Ham have greater than sufficient about them throughout their frontline to begin punishing this Chelsea defence for the high-quality probabilities they're providing up. Home win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Aston Villa vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
After what we noticed final weekend in the Premier League with the excessive card counts this fixture has the potential to observe swimsuit. It's a notoriously card-heavy sport involving two golf equipment that do not like each other a lot in what's a creating derby.
Across the final eight fixtures between the 2, the per-game bookings factors common comes in at a whopping 67 factors.
That instantly makes the Evens on offer with Sky Bet for 60 or extra bookings factors (10 for a yellow, 25 for a purple) a runner, particularly when Villa have drawn 15 yellows in their final 4 matches throughout all competitions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Fulham vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Fulham have a wretched file in opposition to Newcastle, dropping the final six conferences whereas having a participant despatched off in three of the final seven. They've additionally scored simply twice in these seven earlier clashes, blanking on 5 events.
I'd be stunned in the event that they failed to rating once more, although, primarily based on Newcastle's defensive output this season.
Yes, Eddie Howe's males are unbeaten having taken 10 factors from a attainable 12, however they've confronted a median of 1.63 of anticipated objectives in opposition to per 90 together with averaging 16.5 photographs confronted per 90. Only two groups have confronted extra photographs – and the Toon have had a considerably type opening set of fixtures.
Coming out on prime when the margins are fantastic in matches is not a sustainable approach of selecting up factors so I'd count on some regression with their outcomes earlier than too lengthy.
It might come right here, the place Fulham are a tempting 9/5 with Sky Bet for victory.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Leicester vs Everton, Saturday 3pm
Leicester stay a group I'm eager on opposing regardless of constructive outcomes in opposition to Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
They have misplaced the anticipated objectives battle, shot rely and nook race in all 4 of their Premier League video games. Their underlying metrics have been dismal.
If Everton cannot get a outcome right here then Sean Dyche could have some large questions to reply.
However, if his group assault like they've performed in the final two matches, they need to win this match – and look a guess with the chances on provide.
They've created seven huge probabilities throughout their final two video games to a wholesome anticipated objectives determine of two.10. The dynamic of Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil and Dominic Calvert-Lewin seemed fairly thrilling in ahead areas in opposition to Bournemouth and Aston Villa.
They ought to show too sizzling for Leicester to deal with, with the away win at 8/5 with Sky Bet trying very beneficiant.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Everton to beat Leicester (8/5 with Sky Bet – part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Liverpool vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Andoni Iraola goes locations as a supervisor however backing this Bournemouth group to beat a top-six aspect has develop into an costly pastime.
They have now failed to win any of 12 Premier League video games vs final season's top-six – successful simply two factors from a attainable 36. They will head to Anfield as energetic outsiders and make life fiddly for Arne Slot's males however they're not possible to fancy to get a outcome – even when the 8/1 for an away win sounds juicy.
Finding a approach to get Liverpool onside is hard at such prohibitive odds, however including Dominik Szoboszlai to rating into the combination is an attention-grabbing tactic at 9/2 with Sky Bet.
He netted his first objective of the season in midweek vs AC Milan and was genuinely excellent together with his all-around sport in becoming a member of the entrance three. He's had 10 photographs in 5 video games underneath Slot and I'm anticipating his objective output to enhance this season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Southampton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
If the Southampton that performed the ultimate 60 minutes in opposition to Manchester United flip up, making a case for them to win at 6/5 with Sky Bet goes to be a troublesome ask for many who nonetheless have religion in Russel Martin. This is a giant one for him.
Hope might spring everlasting for Saints in the type of Tyler Dibling, whose first-half efficiency in opposition to United was massively eye-catching.
What obtained my punting juices flowing relating to his attacking output was the way in which he moved and drew fouls like Jack Grealish. He gained 4 fouls in 63 minutes of motion together with his reverse quantity Diogo Dalot racking up a complete foul rely of 4.
That is an thrilling angle that we needs to be able to exploiting in the fouls markets, with opposition left-back for Ipswich Leif Davis in focus right here. He's made at the least one foul in his final seven begins for Ipswich and is 6/4 with Sky Bet to make two or extra in this one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brentford are precisely the kind of opposition Ange Postecoglou does not want proper now.
If you had been cooking up a recipe for a group to bother Tottenham on the minute, Brentford have the proper substances in that the house crowd will count on a win and the Bees are a superb low-block defensive group who're a large risk from set-pieces.
Spurs have now conceded 13 objectives from corners this calendar yr and Brentford are extremely artistic and harmful from such conditions having created the second highest quantity of anticipated objectives (15.4) from set-pieces in the Premier League final season.
This has all of the hallmarks of a nervy, irritating type of fixture for Spurs if they do not rating early and I'm very eager on taking over objectives on the costs.
The market has this sport producing 3.2 objectives which appears excessive primarily based on Tottenham's issues creating high quality probabilities of late. I'd fortunately swim in opposition to the objectives tide with the underneath 3.5 line at 4/6 with Sky Bet trying good.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Under 3.5 goals (8/11 with Sky Bet – part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Who would you slightly have in cost of your membership: Oliver Glasner or Erik ten Hag?
If you stated Oliver Glasner, congratulations.
It's exhausting to get Crystal Palace's 4-0 battering of United final season out of my considering when assessing this sport as Glasner's soccer bewildered and perplexed United, who had been admittedly with out some huge hitters.
Despite United delivering for us final week at Southampton, it is exhausting to be too enthusiastic on their probabilities when priced up as 13/10 favourites with Sky Bet. The first half exhibiting was – once more – alarming.
Once they obtained the opening objective there was solely going to be one winner however that is extra to do with how Southampton folded than Ten Hag's group getting right into a groove. The jury remains to be out on whether or not this group is shifting ahead and I'm blissful to aspect with Glasner to showcase his tactical nous over his counterpart.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brighton's offside line underneath Fabian Hurzeler fascinates me. It's a defence that has caught 31 gamers offsides in six video games, ensuing in a per sport common of 5.1, with Wolves caught offside 9 occasions in midweek.
It's such a brave, aggressive approach to play but when opposition groups get the ultimate go proper it does go away Brighton open to conceding high-quality probabilities on their objective.
This is why I'm blissful to mix an offsides and a Forest objectives play by means of the Build A Bet perform on Sky Bet. You can get 6/4 with Sky Bet on each groups scoring and Forest being caught offside three or extra occasions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester City vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Arsenal's worth for the win to nil has been seducing me all week ever since I clapped eyes on it.
That 13/2 with Sky Bet is simply too huge to go up.
This is a group which have gained 10 of their 11 Premier League video games away from residence in 2024, conceding simply three objectives alongside the way in which. A group with such energy, organisation and class who're rated with only a 22 per cent probability of victory to win a soccer match appears improper – even in opposition to a juggernaut like Manchester City.
A juggernaut, albeit, that's regressing, particularly in defence as groups can expose them on the counter-attack. Brentford and Inter Milan have confirmed us this in current days nevertheless it's been taking place for some time and was the rationale why Real Madrid knocked them out of the Champions League final marketing campaign.
Brentford countered with such ease final Saturday particularly in the primary half, after they might have been 3-0 up. City conceded 5 or extra photographs on the right track for simply the second time in a house sport underneath Pep Guardiola and Brentford even gained the possession battle earlier than the break.
And then Inter had 10 photographs in the primary half in midweek as they discovered it very simple to break by means of on the City backline through some intelligent passing and driving runs. They grew to become the primary opposing aspect to have 10 or extra photographs in the primary half of a Champions League sport on the Etihad since Monaco in February 2017.
Arsenal are ruthless sufficient at each ends of the pitch to take benefit and the Evens on provide for them to keep away from defeat is the worth name, as is the 13/2 win to nil price.
Statement victory, ahoy.
