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Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig sq. off in an enormous Champions League encounter on the Metropolitano Stadium. The match is ready to kick off at 12 p.m. ET on Thursday, and you'll be able to watch Atletico vs. Leipzig streaming on Paramount+, YouTube TV and different streaming platforms.
Atletico are -140 favorites on the moneyline to win, with Leipzig +380 and a draw +280. The over/below is at the moment 2.5 objectives, with the over -135 and the below +105.
Atletico Madrid are off to an excellent begin to their La Liga marketing campaign, going unbeaten of their first 5 matches and placing up good underlying numbers within the course of. It's been a busy summer season with Diego Simone's aspect bringing quite a lot of new excessive profile gamers to attempt and sustain with Real Madrid and Barcelona. They made the quarterfinals of the Champions League final yr and expect a deeper run this time round with an improved squad.
RB Leipzig have had an up and down begin within the Bundesliga. They did pull off an unimaginable upset of Leverkusen, however they struggled to beat Bochum within the opener and then drew Union Berlin over the weekend. Marco Rose's aspect has executed nicely within the Champions League in previous years, virtually at all times making it to the knockout stage and will probably be a dwell underdog on this match.
Here is my Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig predictions and my Champions League picks for Thursday.
Atletico vs. Leipzig Odds, Picks, Prediction
Thursday, Sep. 19
3 p.m. ET
Paramount+
| Atletico Madrid Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
-0.5 -135 |
2.5 -1560 / +124u |
-135 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
+0.5 +110 |
2.5 -156o / +124u |
+375 |
- Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig moneyline odds: Atletico Madrid -135, RB Leizpig +375, Draw +290
- Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig over/below: 2.5 objectives (over -156, below +124)
- Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig choose: RB Leipzig +0.5
I'm backing the RB Leipzig unfold in my RB Leipzig vs. Atletico Madrid finest guess for Thurday.
Atletico Madrid have advanced over time and are not the 4-4-2 direct counterattacking group that you simply as soon as knew. Simeone is now having his group construct out of the again with regularity, however they do it in many alternative formations to attempt and confuse their opposition. The intention is mostly to get the ball into huge areas to get a 2 v 1 versus the opposing fullback, so Madrid can create an opportunity through a cross.
When Atletico get the ball to the ultimate third they're actually good at creating possibilities from the half house and making dummy runs to open up house for the forwards to obtain the ball within the field. The Atletico assault is little doubt going to enhance this season with the addition of Julian Alvarez from Manchester City and Alexander Sørloth, who's coming off a 23-objective season with Villarreal.
The cornerstone of the Atletico Madrid group although is how strong they're defensively. Traditionally, Simeone has favored a 4-4-2, however lately he has transitioned to extra of a 5-3-2 to assist forestall groups from overloading the final line of protection. Through their first 5 matches they've but to concede over one anticipated objectives, however this would be the finest offensive and transition group they've seen up to now this season.
RB Leipzig have not been their normal selves to start with of the season, however they're the kind of group that may give Atletico Madrid issues. They have a great deal of expertise of their assault, however most significantly these attackers are extremely harmful in transition.
Leipzig are arrange rather well to play with out the ball. A staple below Marco Rose is his 4-2-2-2 system the place he desires his group to assault by way of the center of the pitch. The entrance two of Sesko and Openda mixed for 38 objectives within the Bundesliga final season, whereas Simons taking part in within the half house compiled 11 assists.
The 4-2-2-2 formation additionally permits Leipzig to take care of a really slim form, so groups aren't capable of management or damage them by way of the center of the pitch. In a really excessive-occasion league, RB Leipzig solely conceded 1.07 npxG per 90 minutes. They additionally performed Real Madrid extremely robust within the spherical of 16 final yr. Over the 2 legs, they solely allowed the eventual champions to attain twice and create 2.2 anticipated objectives over the 2 legs and really gained the anticipated objectives battle within the second leg in Madrid.
Atletico Madrid vs. RB Leipzig Prediction
Atletico Madrid have put up unbelievable defensive numbers up to now in La Liga, however let's be sincere, it has been towards a lot worse competitors than they're going to face on Thursday. While Atletico Madrid are an excellent group defending in a passive block, there are some questions on how they deal with RB Leipzig's fast transition breaks.
Atletico Madrid performed Dortmund within the quarterfinals final yr and conceded 5 objectives over the 2 legs. La Liga and the Bundesliga are weighted as very related leagues from a UEFA coefficient standpoint. RB Leipzig had higher underlying numbers within the Bundesliga than Atletico did in La Liga. So, for my part the house aspect is getting overvalued as a result of they're in higher type, not as a result of they're a greater group.
I solely have Atletico Madrid projected at +125, so I like the worth on the RB Leipzig +0.5 at +107.
Pick: RB Leipzig +0.5 (+107 through bet365)
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