Vice President Kamala Harris is making surprising beneficial properties amongst Republican voters, in response to latest polls.
As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, a number of polls counsel a rising variety of Republicans are shifting their assist from former President Donald Trump to Harris. This stunning pattern may reshape the election dynamics, giving Harris a possible edge in key battleground states as each candidates struggle for the presidency.
According to the most recent nationwide New York Times/Siena College ballot, carried out between September 29 and October 6, 9 % of Republicans polled stated they deliberate to assist Harris within the November election, up from 5 % final month.
The newest Cygnal ballot, carried out between October 2 and three, confirmed an identical pattern. Nine % of Republicans polled this month stated they assist the vp, up from 3 % final month.
Meanwhile, a ballot carried out by Emerson College between September 29 and October 1 confirmed that 7 % of Republicans had been breaking for Harris, up from 5 % initially of September.
In distinction, polls present that Trump's assist from Democrats has decreased from 6 % within the earlier Emerson College ballot to 4 % in the latest one. The former president additionally noticed a lower in assist from Democrats in polls carried out by The New York Times and Siena College, from 4 % to three %.
Photo-illustration by Newsweek/Getty
Newsweek reached out to the Harris and Trump campaigns for remark by way of e mail.
Harris has received over Republicans as a result of she has made a “concerted effort” to enchantment to such voters within the swing states, says Thomas Gift, the director of the University College of London Centre on US Politics.
“To her credit, Harris has made more of a concerted effort to peel off Republican support than some Democrats in the past. In Pennsylvania, for example, the Harris team has opened up 50 headquarters, mainly in more rural, conservative parts of the state with an eye toward making inroads with GOP voters who are unenthusiastic about Trump,” Gift advised Newsweek.
“As we saw in the primaries with Nikki Haley voters, there's a nontrivial segment of the Republican electorate who consider themselves right-leaning but just can't bring themselves to cast their ballot for Trump.”
Gift added that Harris' marketing campaign technique has differed from that of her predecessor, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who known as Trump supporters a “basket of deplorables” at a marketing campaign fundraising occasion in the course of the 2016 race.
“Harris's effort to reach across the aisle contrasts markedly with Hillary Clinton in 2016, who labeled many of these voters “deplorables” and de facto wrote off large swathes of the Republican electorate,” Gift stated.
Meanwhile, Mike Tappin, an honorary fellow at Keele University and co-author of American Politics Today, had a distinct clarification, telling Newsweek that the previous president's lack of enchantment to feminine voters may clarify the shift.
Harris' “stand on a woman's right to an abortion has drawn many women voters to her cause and away from the Trump candidacy,” he stated.
“In June 2022, the Republican and very conservative Supreme Court, with three Trump appointees, overturned the Roe v. Wade decision [of] 1973, which allowed women in America the right to an abortion under specific conditions. The Roe decision said it was up to the individual states to decide,” Tappin stated.
“Donald Trump has been equivocal in his views on this issue. Many Republican-dominated state governments are starting to criminalize abortion for its citizens, and in some states, that medical staff who perform an abortion could be charged with murder.”
He continued: “The final problem, related to this, is that Trump is perceived to have a problem with women voters, is his alleged misogyny and cavalier treatment of women. In January 2024, E. Jean Carroll was awarded combined damages of $88.3 million against Trump for sexual abuse and defamation, a charge he denied. Trump has appealed the decision.”
Jeff Swensen/Getty Images
Polls have proven that girls overwhelmingly assist Harris, with 56 % of feminine voters supporting Harris in the latest New York Times/Siena College ballot. Meanwhile, a survey printed Thursday by Emerson College discovered that Harris leads amongst ladies in each swing state apart from Arizona. In the Grand Canyon State, 50 % of feminine respondents stated they backed Trump, whereas 47 % favored Harris.
“With the November 5th election so close, how women who make up the largest proportion of the electorate vote will be critical in determining the result, especially in the “swing” states,” Tappin stated.
Last month, former Republican Representative Liz Cheney endorsed Harris.
“As a conservative, as someone who believes in and cares about the Constitution, I have thought deeply about this. And because of the danger that Donald Trump poses, not only am I not voting for Donald Trump, but I will be voting for Kamala Harris,” Cheney stated at Duke University.
Days later, Cheney's father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, stated he planned to vote for Harris, as nicely.
“In our nation's 248 year history, there has never been an individual who is a greater threat to our Republic than Donald Trump,” he stated in an announcement. “As citizens, we each have a duty to put country above partisanship to defend our Constitution. That is why I will be casting my vote for Vice President Kamala Harris.”
Liz Cheney joined Harris on the marketing campaign path this month at an occasion in Ripon, Wisconsin.
Trump beforehand stated in a Truth Social submit that girls can be “happy” and “great again” if he wins the presidency.
