Player Props for Dalton Kincaid and Andrei Iosivas in the NFL Monday Night Football Game | Sports

For the first time this season, now we have two Monday Night Football video games. That means I'll have two NFL participant props.

We're getting again to fundamentals and what we do finest for tonight's matchups, which suggests we're betting a pair of unders.

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Bills-Jaguars Player Prop

Dalton Kincaid is off to a little bit of a sluggish begin this season, having did not clear this quantity in both of the Bills' first two video games. While I feel he'll ultimately escape, I'm nonetheless displaying worth on the underneath primarily based on this matchup.

The Bills have been a very-run heavy workforce since Joe Brady took over as offensive coordinator in the center of final season. Even when Josh Allen drops again to go, he is a risk to scramble, which results in fewer go makes an attempt.

The Jaguars play man protection at the highest price in the NFL. That means we should always anticipate Allen to scramble at a better price tonight.

Jacksonville's most well-liked protection can also be dangerous information for Kincaid. His goal price in opposition to man protection is 4% decrease and he averages 0.6 fewer yards per route run.

Also serving to this decide is that Kincaid's common depth of goal is 0.3 yards decrease this season than it was for his rookie marketing campaign. That means even when Kincaid will get a handful of targets, he won't clear this quantity. Also, the Jaguars protection has allowed the third-fewest yards per play on go makes an attempt lower than 10 yards down the area this season.

I'm projecting Kincaid's median nearer to 30.5 yards with a 63% probability he stays underneath 37.5.

Bengals-Commanders Player Prop

I'm excessive on Andrei Iosivas as a participant. I used to be saying final 12 months that he is in all probability Cincinnati's long-term substitute for Tee Higgins.

Well, tonight, Higgins is anticipated to make his season debut after a hamstring damage saved him out of the Bengals' first two video games. He practiced absolutely this week and was not listed on the damage report.

Cincinnati ran 12 personnel (two-tight finish units) on 16% of snaps final season, however that is as much as 35% thus far this 12 months. The Bengals rank third in success price and have Mike Gesicki enjoying nicely, in addition to rookie tight finish Erick All. I'm guessing the Bengals keep on with that strategy even with Higgins again.

That additionally means Iosivas may see his enjoying time take a success, particularly with Trenton Irwin nonetheless more likely to rotate in and get his share of snaps.

Even if we don’t see Iosivas' enjoying time take a success, he has solely drawn a goal on 13% of his routes and has a mean depth of goal of seven.9 yards downfield. He tends to get most of his targets in goal-to-go conditions in the finish zone, which explains his excessive landing price, however that caps his ceiling on the subject of accumulating receiving yards.

I'm projecting Iosivas' median nearer to twenty.5 receiving yards with round a 60% probability he stays underneath 25.5.

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